Advanced statistical modelling - football data

I am capturing data relating to in-play football matches from leagues around the world in Excel with the following variables:

Time played (minutes ranging from 60-87 only)


Scoreline (e.g. 0-1)

Subsequent goal scored (yes/no) - a binary outcome

I would like an advanced statistical model building in Excel with the following specification:

1. A user-friendly but sophisticated mathematical model that assesses how the three variables (time, country, scoreline) relate to the binary outcome (a goal) - with a simple mathematical explanation of why this is the case (I need to understand why the model chosen is the best fit for solving this)

2. The ability to assess probability of a goal being scored given certain conditions, expressed in digital odds format, and an assessment of statistical significance of the implied probability

3. The ability for me to manually add more data over time and assess changing probabilities without the need for additional programming support

I am not a mathematician - so you must be able to explain things in easy to understand language. I need to understand why the model works, as well as what it can do. Freelancers must have skills in advanced statistics and mathematics.

Compétences : Statistiques, Analyses statistiques, Excel, Science des données, Mathématiques

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Concernant l'employeur :
( 2 commentaires ) Salisbury, United Kingdom

Nº du projet : #22247166

Décerné à:


Hello! I am a Masters in Data Science Student at Indiana University and have done many projects similar to what you are describing. I have taken advanced coursework in statistical modeling and have tutored people in th Plus

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40 freelance font une offre moyenne de £465 pour ce travail


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Hi I am a very experienced statistician, data scientist and academic writer. I have completed several PhD level thesis projects involving advanced statistical analysis of data. I have worked with data from several comp Plus

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Hi! I am good in your required project and I am master degree holder in statistics. Have years of experience of using SPSS and R language for statistical data analysis. You can check my profile for customer satisfac Plus

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Hi there, It is an interesting idea! I previously did modelled football players injury with their numbers of games and goal scoring. In your case, it appears you need to have some highly predictive models, but as your Plus

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I ever did football data analysis and it was similar as you are looking for and I have the leagues data as well from my previous work, and may be you not need to collect data as it contains same variables as your, I us Plus

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Sir,      I am well versed in these kind of jobs and can do your project as per your requirement. I am very much able to work on this. ***I am ready to start Message me for further discussion. Waiting to hear from y Plus

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I can definitely help you with that. I am a professional Financial Analyst, Statistical Analyst and Excel expert holding years of experience in utilizing advance level tools and functions of Excel to develop highly dyn Plus

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Hi let’s discuss the details you shared, I am interested to do all this statistics for you, I have about 10 years of hands on experience working with website development , I can build plugins and customise any plugin a Plus

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Hello there. I have a results from champions league from past 8 seasons in excel prepared for machine learning.

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Hi, I have done similar odds prediction models for other sports and horse racing (in-play betting) before. I am a mathematician/statistician with postgraduate degree in data science (machine learning) and I can explain Plus

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